"Everything Should Be Made as Simple as Possible, But Not Simpler"
--- Albert Einstein.
Ever heard this quote anywhere? What does it means? It's been long I have written a stuff. This is a second start!
Let’s
take an example. A situation is given. People are asked to analyse it, and
publish their results. There are three people doing it, Aman, Babli, Chiku. The
illustration is below.
Situation --
A cat is chasing a mouse. After a 50
meter run, the cat is successful to claw up that little mouse and starts eating
it.
What just happened?
Aman -- I think
maybe yesterday or the day before yesterday, the mouse was roaming around, and
saw a fat old cat. She maybe was in a mood for the gag, and hence, went up to
the cat, started biting her skin and running away as soon as the cat reacted.
This went on for an hour or so, the cat skin was so much chewed, it started
concentrating germs, bacteria and was now septic. The poor cat, after 6 hours
of agony, succumbed to her injuries. The cat was having a younger sister
cat. When she saw this, she was furious and hence was in search of the mouse.
Sighted her today, she was chasing the cat to take revenge. I think this is
what is happening. Thank You!
Next was the turn of Babli.
Lets see what she has one her plate.
Babli -- I think that the cat is hungry and
hence he is chasing the mouse in order to eat it.
Now
it is the turn of Chiku.
Chiku -- I think,
nobody was in fact chasing nobody. The cat us still in its position,
the mouse was still in its position. Their legs just performed simple
oscillation. It was the earth that was moving in the opposite direction.
Slowly, the distance between them starting decreasing. This was because, the
space-time between them was getting dissolved into a micro black hole.
This black hole was curving the space and time. Hence at the end, we
see two of them met. Once in contact, the mouse was suddenly pulled into the
cat mouse, in order to be saved from all the black hole effects.
Now which is the
most appropriate of all the answers?
" It states that among competing hypotheses, the
hypothesis with the fewest assumptions should be selected."
Moving on, we now know which one of the above three hypotheses we
should consider.
The one given by Aman is not logically impossible, but
doesn't happen in daily life. There has been no scientist discoveries
suggesting that cats do remember enemies (they do remember the house that feed
them unlike the dog, which remembers the individual who feed him) or take
revenge. So the probability of
this happening is although sparingly very less, this may be the case.
But just because it is not what we observe on a daily basis, and in order to
mark this hypothesis as correct, we land up creating more questions like how does
cat remember, what are the associative, why did the mouse acted this way, etc.
etc. We can ignore this answer.
The other answer by Chiku is again making lots of complexity
and assumptions. Although micro black hole is possible, physicist claims that
it is harmful and it is getting created in the LHC every second.
Again space-time warp is easily said than done. Also Chiku claims that
nobody is walking and running, the planet is moving in the opposite direction.
This is again possible but not probable. The observer should have also felt the
same effect as the object of experiment(in this case, the cat and mouse) did. This
hypothesis is again a very cumbersome one and requires more
assumptions and new explanations.
The answer given by Babli is considerably small, logical and
observational. Cats, like humans, do get hungry. It is evident from the animal
history that the prey run and the predator chases. This answer requires very
less assumptions and new theory. Hence we can mark this as good to go.